division 5 region 19 playoff picture

[kvnchambers]

here is my scenarios as crazy as they all still are.

1. fredicktown projects to 22.65 with a win over londonville 3-6. which they should handle easy. londonville has only beaten one team with a winning record. projection includes level 2 points from 7-2 highland and 5-4 crestview.

2. oak hill projects ti 22.40 with a win over 4-5 green. the 4 teams green has beat has a combined record of 6-29 with the best being 3-6. projected in point total is level 2 points from 6-3 new richmond ,8-1 symmes valley and 3-6 wellston. as long as projected winners win. any one of the following winning would lift oak hill to number 1 seed. wheelersburg, chesapeake or rock hill.

now it gets crazy.

3.4.5.6.7.8 valley projects to 20.1 with a win over minford. what i see as a toss up game. projected in this total is a 8-1 portsmouth west win over wheelersburg and a 1-8 south point win over a 1-8 river valley. they could will additional level 2 points if, 0-9 huntington or 2-7 rock hill could win their games. if wheelers burg and/or river valley win those projected games. valleys projection drops to 19.7 or down to 19.15. this would allow a lot of teams to pass them in different scenarios.

if valley loses they are not eliminated. with a loss they project out to 16.55 they could still get in with a wheelersburg, nelsonville york or ridgewood loss.

3.4.5.6.7.8. nelsonville york projects out to 19.90 with a win over athens. athens have not beat a team with a winning record but have played much better after a very slow start an athens win would not shock me. second level projections include, 6-3 trimble. they could pick up additional level 2 points if 3-6 berne union or 4-5 bishop ready could pull off an upset if so they could move past valley. also could move past valley if valleys second level projection do not pan out.

if nelsonville loses they are not eliminated. they would project out to 15.90. would need valley to win its game and wheelersburg and caldwell to lose and then win a tight battle of level 2 points with adena.

3.4.5.6.7.8. wheelersburg projects out to 19.75 with win over portsmouth west 8-1 in another tight game that i see leaning wheelersburg. if portsmouth could knock off ironton they could earn enough points to vault them to number 3 seed. also could move up if nelsonville and valley lose. or if valleys second level points don't pan out.

3.4.5.6.7.8. coal grove projects out to 19.1 points with a win over 4-5 chesapeake. coal grove has had a great season but no signature wins. both teams have sailed through conference play would not be surprised no matter who the winner was here. included in projections are wins by 6-3 trimble and 5-4 greenup county. they could earn extra level 2 points with meigs or athens winning their games enough to move up o 3rd with a valley loss.

even though coal grove is not a lock for playoffs, even if they lose it would take a lot of things to happen for them not to make it.

3.4.5.6. minford projects out at 18.8 points with a win over valley. projected points included oak hill 8-1 and wellston 3-6 winning. can win extra level 2 points if south point, piketon and meigs pull off wins. enough points that if they all won could move them to a e seed. also could move up with nelsonville or wheelersburg loses. if minford loses they are eliminated.

3.4.5.6.7.8. ridgewood projects out to 18.65 with win over 5-4 newcomerstown. there 5 wins have came against teams with a combined record of 9-36. none of them better then 3-6. they can earn additional 2nd level points if any of the following teams pull off an upset. 1-8 buckeye trail, 1-8 central catholic and 2-7 riverview. if these happen they could reach the third seed. could move up with others losses.
ridgewood could be in some trouble with a loss.

4.5.6.7.8. monroe central projects out to 17.898 points with a win over 1-8 buckeye trail. level 2 points in projection come from, columbiana 5-4, fort frye6-3 and 5-4 barnesville winning. could move up with loses by others.
monroe central even with loss would have to have a lot of things happen to not make it in.

6.7.8 caldwell projects out to 16.35 with a win over 4-5 shenandoah can get in with a loss by wheelersburg, nelsonville york or ridgewood. if some secondary level 2 points would falter for coal grove or monroe central they could possible pass them with a loss. if i was caldwell if i take care of buisness inmy game i think i'm playing in week 11. if minford beets valley then two of the above teams have to lose for cladwell to get in.

8. adena projects out to 15.9 with win over huntinton. if valley beats minford adena needs 2 of 3 to lose. ridgewood, wheelersburg or caldwell, or nelsonville york but if nelsonville york is one of teams they would need some loses in nelsonvilles projected level 2 points. if minford wins adena needs all 3 teams to lose to get in.

[I drain 3's]

As a Caldwell fan, looks like i'll be rooting for Portsmouth West, Athens, Newcomerstown, and Valley. Also, just so you know, it's spelled Shenandoah. Just thought i'd help ya out a little lol.

[kvnchambers]

i know let alone i didn't capitalize anything. by the time i was done computing i am surprised i even found half the teams names. spelling is not my area of expertise. i love math though but i am sure i have probably made a small mistake in that somewhere in here two but i enjoyed figuring it out and killed an evening of baby sitting while my wife worked a double.

[LetsGoPSU]

Just punching the numbers, looking at the stats reading the articles.....thats just pure entertainment

[mother_nature]

Oak Hill will be the 1 seed

[LetsGoPSU]

Thye are going to need Burg to beat West