Jason Vorhees wrote:I just don't think Ironton can make the playoffs. Is the possibility there to win out? Of course, it most definitely is there. However, Ironton is currently sitting in 16th place in that region. Yes, I know they have whatever percentage of a chance to make the playoffs. However, the mathematics of it is against them. First off, they would have to jump from 16th to 8th place. This means that Minford would have to lose 2 out of its last three games, which could happen (a very likely scenario). Then, Oak Hill would have to lose at least one of its games. Going by numbers alone, it probably won't happen; Oak Hill beat Northwest 30-23, and Northwest beat East 41-0. East is the best team remaining on Oak Hill's schedule. I just don't see Oak Hill losing another game. This doesn't mean that Oak Hill would make the playoffs; however, this would most likely put Oak Hill ahead of Ironton. Wellston may only win another game (Vinton County; they have Meigs and Athens, as well) which would put them below Ironton. Martin's Ferry may only win another game; so, that could platoon Ironton ahead of them. Northwest should win out, which in turn, would put them ahead of Ironton but at the same time, would most likely put Oak Hill ahead of Northwest. Tusky Valley should win two out of the last three games on their schedule. Those teams are a combined 4-11 at this point, so Ironton could jump ahead of them as well. Union Local should win two out of their last three (Bellaire and Barnesville) so that would place them ahead of Ironton. I think people keep forgetting that there is a couple of major things at stake here: 1. River Valley has never made the playoffs. They will play the hardest they have ever played to ensure they can make this the most successful season they have ever had in football. 2. Chesapeake is having a darn fine year. One loss to Rock Hill. Mind you, that's the same Chesapeake team who beat Alexander in week two. Chesapeake beating Ironton would be HUGE, and it's a major possibility. 3. Rock Hill is having the best season they have had since 2007 and are in the mix of things. I will keep my personal feelings about their current staff to myself and say this: the kids at Rock Hill have something to prove, just like River Valley. I see the region finishing something like this:
1. Burg/Zane Trace
2.Zane Trace/Burg
3. Harrison Central
4. Alexander
5. Ridgewood
6. Coshocton
7. Rock Hill
8. River Valley
9. Oak Hill
10. Northwest
11. Ironton
It should go something like this. It's honestly time for a River Valley or Rock Hill to make the playoffs for the first time, or the first time in a long time. Ironton playing either Zane Trace or Wheelersburg (again) is foolish talk. That would be a really bad idea. Why get destroyed in the playoffs by the same team for two consecutive years? Just so you can say you made it to the playoffs? That is extremely illogical. Sometimes the best way to win is to lose. Then again, Ironton is still scheduling some teams based off of "tradition." This isn't the Ironton of years past, and they are slowly going the way of the Dodo. Teams aren't afraid of their team bus, or their past anymore. Those things will only get you so far. There is a reason that they joined the OVC, and it sure as hell wasn't to create "natural" rivalries within their county. If that was true, then they would be scheduling them on a consistent basis in the past.
RV is toast with a loss to ATHENS a win and im still not sure if that's enough!!! same goes for IRONTON toast with any loss
as far as oak hill / ironton comparison
iroton has 18 games of L2 points that are LOCKS and 1 game is a maybe and those are worth 4 to 4.5 per game
oak hill only has 8 LOCKS and 15 maybe games also I think 14 of those 23 are against d7 3.5 compared to ironton getting 4 to 4.5 per game(net loss of 23-32 L2 points right there for that)
it just aint there for the oaks if ironton wins out
I am going to look at NW closer after while
I have looked at NW also and I have put them in same boat as oak hill even if they win last 3 games there L2 point value will not overtake ironton