Division IV Region 15

[knightruner]

Just watch Jonathan Alder and London play this last weekend and it was a track meet. They both got some good running backs. 105 points scored in the game that London ended up winning 57 to 48. Don't over look JA if their defense plays well. They will score points on you.

[MisterGalliaGuy2016]

Does seeding somewhat accurately reflect how GA and VC would fare in this region? Or would JA or Ready handle both pretty easily?

Don’t count out VC with 3 shutouts already and a potential for 2 more, mind you all 3 shutouts so far are against sub par competition, but a shutout in highschool football is no easy feat especially when your up big and jv and freshmen are playing!

Not counting them out at all, but I think we can all agree, outside of Ironton, JA and Ready are both better than any team GA or VC have played or will play before week 11.

[muskiefan11]

Post-Week 8 Fantastic 50 Playoff Predictions

Locks-14
Sheridan (8-0), Steubenville (7-1), Bishop Hartley (6-2), St. Clairsville (7-1), Logan Elm (7-1), Licking Valley (6-2), Eastmoor Academy (5-3), Gallia Academy (7-1), Vinton County (7-1), Bishop Ready (7-1), Jonathan Alder (6-2), Columbus East (6-2), Philo (5-3), Indian Valley (6-3)

5 Contenders for 2 Spots
Marion-Franklin 95% (4-4) need 5-5
Morgan 54% (4-4) need 6-4
Carrollton 42% (5-3) bubble if 6-4
Johnstown 7% (4-4) need 6-4
Fairfield Union 3% (4-4) need 6-4

Longshots
Claymont

Eliminated
Warren, Maysville, Lakewood, KIPP, Buckeye Local, Indian Creek, Cambridge, River View

Seeding with Remaining Game Predictions
1. Sheridan (10-0) Wins over Tri-Valley, New Lexington
2. Steubenville (9-1) Wins over University School, Louisville
3. Bishop Hartley (8-2) Wins over KIPP, St Charles
4. St. Clairsville (8-2) Wins over Cambridge Loss to Wheeling Park WV
5. Logan Elm (8-2) Wins over Teays Valley Loss to Hamilton Twp
6. Licking Valley (7-3) Win over Licking Heights Loss to Granville
7. Columbus East (8-2) Wins over Centennial, Linden McKinley
8. Vinton County (9-1) Wins over Nelsonville-York, Wellston
9. Gallia Academy (8-2) Win over South Point Loss to Ironton
10. Bishop Ready (8-2) Wins over Bexley Loss to Columbus Academy
11. Marion-Franklin (6-4) Wins over Eastmoor Academy, Columbus South
12. Eastmoor Academy (6-4) Win over Africentric, Loss to Eastmoor Academy
13. Jonathan Alder (7-3) Win over Tecumseh Loss to Bellefontaine
14. Indian Valley (7-3) Wins over Tusky Valley, Claymont
15. Philo (6-4) Win over Maysville Losses to John Glenn
16. Morgan (6-4) Wins over Meadowbrook, Crooksville
Out
Carrollton (6-4) Win over Minerva, Loss to West Branch
Johnstown (5-5) Wins over Lakewood Loss to Heath
Fairfield Union (5-5) Wins over Amanda-Clearcreek, Teays Valley
Claymont (3-7) Losses to Ridgewood, Indian Valley

[Bunker Hill]

Although predicted to lose I believe St C beats WP. WP will have the second best QB St C has faced , but WP lacks in other areas .

[muskiefan11]

Changes from Week 7

Clinched Playoffs-Indian Valley
Eliminated-Warren, Maysville, Lakewood, KIPP, Buckeye Local, Indian Creek, Cambridge, River View

Moved in-Morgan
Moved out-Carrollton

Columbus East + 7 Seeds
Licking Valley +6 Seeds
Indian Valley -1 Seed
Gallia Academy, Marion-Franklin, Jonathan Alder -2 Seeds
Eastmoor Academy -6 Seeds

[muskiefan11]

According to Fantastic 50 Twitter, based on projected playoff points cutoffs, this region is the 2nd toughest to make the playoffs (11.65), and the 4th toughest to earn a home playoff game (18.19) in the state.

[muskiefan11]

Post Week 9 Playoff Outlook

In-15
Steubenville (Home x2), Sheridan, (Home, Likely x2), Bishop Hartley (Home, Likely x2), St. Clairsville (Home, 39% x2), Logan Elm (Home, 28% x2), Bishop Ready (95% Home, 33% x2), Licking Valley (77% Home), Gallia Academy (64% Home), Vinton County (32% Home), Columbus East (26% Home), Marion-Franklin, Jonathan Alder, Indian Valley, Eastmoor Academy (4% Home), Philo

4 Contenders for 1 Spot
5-4 Morgan 78% need 6-4
5-4 Carrollton 17% need 6-4
5-4 Johnstown 4% need 6-4
5-4 Fairfield Union <2% need 6-4

Eliminated
Claymont, Warren, Maysville, Lakewood, KIPP Columbus, Indian Creek, Buckeye Local, Cambridge, River View

Seeding based on Projected Points
1.
28.74 Steubenville 9-1 Win over Louisville (99%)
2.
26.95 Sheridan 9-1 Win over New Lexington (88%)
3.
25.71 Bishop Hartley 8-2 Win over St. Charles (98%)
24.95 Logan Elm 9-1 Win over Hamilton Twp (28%)
24.20 Sheridan 8-2 Loss to New Lexington (12%)
23.29 Bishop Ready 9-1 Win over Columbus Academy (45%)
4.
20.79 St. Clairsville 8-2 Win over Cambridge (99%)
5.
19.55 Logan Elm 8-2 Loss to Hamilton Twp (72%)
6.
18.44 Bishop Ready 8-2 Loss to Columbus Academy (55%)
7.
18.34 Licking Valley 7-3 Win over Licking Heights (82%)
8.
18.14 Gallia Academy 8-2 Win over South Point (92%)
9.
17.74 Vinton County 9-1 Win over Wellston (99%)
17.59 Eastmoor Academy 6-4 Win over Africentric (43%)
10.
17.58 Columbus East 8-2 Win over Linden McKinley (98%)
11.
17.25 Marion-Franklin 6-4 Win over Columbus South (87%)
16.67 Licking Valley 6-4 Loss to Licking Heights (18%)
12.
16.40 Jonathan Alder 7-3 Win over Tecumseh (99%)
13.
15.25 Indian Valley 7-3 Win over Claymont (99%)
14.35 Marion-Franklin 5-5 Loss to Columbus South (13%)
14.
13.71 Eastmoor Academy 5-5 Loss to Africentric (57%)
15.
13.65 Philo 6-4 Win over Maysville (69%)
11.80 Philo 5-5 Loss to Maysville (31%)
16.
11.70 Morgan 6-4 Win over Crooksville (98%)
11.20 Carrollton 6-4 Win over Minerva (99%)
10.20 Johnstown 5-5 Loss to Heath (95%)
10.20 Fairfield Union 6-4 Win over Teays Valley (48%)
7.55 Fairfield Union 5-5 Loss to Teays Valley (52%)

[muskiefan11]

Post Week 9 Playoff Outlook

In-15
Steubenville (Home x2), Sheridan, (Home, Likely x2), Bishop Hartley (Home, Likely x2), St. Clairsville (Home, 39% x2), Logan Elm (Home, 28% x2), Bishop Ready (95% Home, 33% x2), Licking Valley (77% Home), Gallia Academy (64% Home), Vinton County (32% Home), Columbus East (26% Home), Marion-Franklin, Jonathan Alder, Indian Valley, Eastmoor Academy (4% Home), Philo

4 Contenders for 1 Spot
5-4 Morgan 78% need 6-4
5-4 Carrollton 17% need 6-4
5-4 Johnstown 4% need 6-4
5-4 Fairfield Union <2% need 6-4

Eliminated
Claymont, Warren, Maysville, Lakewood, KIPP Columbus, Indian Creek, Buckeye Local, Cambridge, River View

Seeding based on Projected Points
1.
28.74 Steubenville 9-1 Win over Louisville (99%)
2.
26.95 Sheridan 9-1 Win over New Lexington (88%)
3.
25.71 Bishop Hartley 8-2 Win over St. Charles (98%)
24.95 Logan Elm 9-1 Win over Hamilton Twp (28%)
24.20 Sheridan 8-2 Loss to New Lexington (12%)
23.29 Bishop Ready 9-1 Win over Columbus Academy (45%)
4.
20.79 St. Clairsville 8-2 Win over Cambridge (99%)
5.
19.55 Logan Elm 8-2 Loss to Hamilton Twp (72%)
6.
18.44 Bishop Ready 8-2 Loss to Columbus Academy (55%)
7.
18.34 Licking Valley 7-3 Win over Licking Heights (82%)
8.
18.14 Gallia Academy 8-2 Win over South Point (92%)
9.
17.74 Vinton County 9-1 Win over Wellston (99%)
17.59 Eastmoor Academy 6-4 Win over Africentric (43%)
10.
17.58 Columbus East 8-2 Win over Linden McKinley (98%)
11.
17.25 Marion-Franklin 6-4 Win over Columbus South (87%)
16.67 Licking Valley 6-4 Loss to Licking Heights (18%)
12.
16.40 Jonathan Alder 7-3 Win over Tecumseh (99%)
13.
15.25 Indian Valley 7-3 Win over Claymont (99%)
14.35 Marion-Franklin 5-5 Loss to Columbus South (13%)
14.
13.71 Eastmoor Academy 5-5 Loss to Africentric (57%)
15.
13.65 Philo 6-4 Win over Maysville (69%)
11.80 Philo 5-5 Loss to Maysville (31%)
16.
11.70 Morgan 6-4 Win over Crooksville (98%)
11.20 Carrollton 6-4 Win over Minerva (99%)
10.20 Johnstown 5-5 Loss to Heath (95%)
10.20 Fairfield Union 6-4 Win over Teays Valley (48%)
7.55 Fairfield Union 5-5 Loss to Teays Valley (52%)

Updated to include projected seeding based on most likely outcomes.

[muskiefan11]

Unofficial Seeding/Matchups from Joe Eitel:

16 Morgan or Carrollton @ 1 Steubenville
9 Licking Valley @ 8 Cols. East
13 Indian Valley @ 4 Logan Elm
13 Jonathan Alder @ 5 Bishop Ready
15 Philo or Morgan or Carrollton @ 2 Sheridan
10 Vinton County or Marion-Franklin @ 7 Gallia Academy
14 Eastmoor Academy or Philo @ 3 Bishop Hartley
11 Marion-Franklin or Vinton County @ 6 St. Clairsville

Maroon-Franklin will earn the 10-seed with a West win over Briggs.
Vinton County will earn the 10-seed with a Briggs win over West.
Eastmoor Academy has clinched the 14-seed; however, Eitel says they may opt out of the playoffs.
Philo will earn the 15-seed if Eastmoor remains in the playoffs, if they opt out Philo will be the 14-seed.
Morgan will earn the 16-seed with an Akron North win over Garfield.
Morgan and Carrollton will tie for the 16-seed with a Garfield win over Akron North. (Tiebreaker will be 3rd level points).
If Eastmoor Academy opts out Morgan and Carrollton will be in,
as the 15/16-seeds dependent on the North vs Garfield result.

[BeatOfTheSEOhio]

Unofficial Seeding/Matchups from Joe Eitel:

16 Morgan or Carrollton @ 1 Steubenville
9 Licking Valley @ 8 Cols. East
13 Indian Valley @ 4 Logan Elm
13 Jonathan Alder @ 5 Bishop Ready
15 Philo or Morgan or Carrollton @ 2 Sheridan
10 Vinton County or Marion-Franklin @ 7 Gallia Academy
14 Eastmoor Academy or Philo @ 3 Bishop Hartley
11 Marion-Franklin or Vinton County @ 6 St. Clairsville

Maroon-Franklin will earn the 10-seed with a West win over Briggs.
Vinton County will earn the 10-seed with a Briggs win over West.
Eastmoor Academy has clinched the 14-seed; however, Eitel says they may opt out of the playoffs.
Philo will earn the 15-seed if Eastmoor remains in the playoffs, if they opt out Philo will be the 14-seed.
Morgan will earn the 16-seed with an Akron North win over Garfield.
Morgan and Carrollton will tie for the 16-seed with a Garfield win over Akron North. (Tiebreaker will be 3rd level points).
If Eastmoor Academy opts out Morgan and Carrollton will be in,
as the 15/16-seeds dependent on the North vs Garfield result.

Is there any explanation to Eastmoor Academy’s circumstances?

[muskiefan11]

Unofficial Seeding/Matchups from Joe Eitel:

16 Morgan or Carrollton @ 1 Steubenville
9 Licking Valley @ 8 Cols. East
13 Indian Valley @ 4 Logan Elm
13 Jonathan Alder @ 5 Bishop Ready
15 Philo or Morgan or Carrollton @ 2 Sheridan
10 Vinton County or Marion-Franklin @ 7 Gallia Academy
14 Eastmoor Academy or Philo @ 3 Bishop Hartley
11 Marion-Franklin or Vinton County @ 6 St. Clairsville

Maroon-Franklin will earn the 10-seed with a West win over Briggs.
Vinton County will earn the 10-seed with a Briggs win over West.
Eastmoor Academy has clinched the 14-seed; however, Eitel says they may opt out of the playoffs.
Philo will earn the 15-seed if Eastmoor remains in the playoffs, if they opt out Philo will be the 14-seed.
Morgan will earn the 16-seed with an Akron North win over Garfield.
Morgan and Carrollton will tie for the 16-seed with a Garfield win over Akron North. (Tiebreaker will be 3rd level points).
If Eastmoor Academy opts out Morgan and Carrollton will be in,
as the 15/16-seeds dependent on the North vs Garfield result.

Is there any explanation to Eastmoor Academy’s circumstances?

Not that I know of, all that I have seen is that their playoff status on Eitel shows “clinched may opt out”

[MoCoSportsGuy02]

According to Joe Eitel, Eastmoor has opted out. Morgan is now 15 and Carrollton 16 using third-level points tiebreaker.

[muskiefan11]

Week 12 Matchups

9 Licking Valley at 1 Steubenville
13 Indian Valley at 5 Bishop Ready
7 Gallia Academy at 2 Sheridan
6 St. Clairsville at 3 Bishop Hartley