Region 21

[fuzzhead]

I see Ready, Valley, and maybe Newark Catholic as having the potential to win this region. There may be more parody to Region 21 than in 17, but the top is not nearly as strong.

[Crab's Brother]

I see Ready, Valley, and maybe Newark Catholic as having the potential to win this region. There may be more parody to Region 21 than in 17, but the top is not nearly as strong.

No region around here will be as strong as one with Hartley, st. Clairsville, LU, Wheelersburg, and Ferry. That said, there is quite a bit more parody in this region.

[EasternDspy]

Fort Frye may make playoffs but they are probably the 15th or 16th best team. They were better last season and still got beat 42-6 to Kirtland in playoffs

[Izladoom]

Kirtlands is just on a different level hard to judge a team by how they played against them

[Region 15]

Watched Kirtland in the State Finals last season. They did lose their great quarterback and 'super' running back (Washington) Washington was referred to as the best running back in Ohio not playing for a D1 high school. They do return a 235 Soph fullback who had an excellent game, well over 100 yards in that final.

[EasternDspy]

If Cols Acad beats Bexley or West Jeff there in. If not I say it ends up 1. Ready 2. Valley 3. Centerburg 4. Newark Cath 5.Bellaire / Locks 6. Oak Hill (if they win out if not they drop to 8th with 1loss) 7. Central (13.8) 8. Fort Frye( 8-2) Cadet squad would get in barring a Bexley or West Jeff loss to Col Acad.

[Crab's Brother]

Fort Frye does seem to be at the mercy of a few other teams. This is a huge week for the Cadets' playoff hopes.

Columbus Academy visits West Jeff.
Oak Hill goes to Notre Dame.
Ridgewood hosts Malvern.
Crooksville gets a visit from Danville.

So, if we are all in agreement that the top 5 are in (Ready, Valley, Centerburg, Bellaire, NC) then we are looking at 6 teams for the final 3 spots (Academy, FF, Oak Hill, Monroe Central, Ridgewood, Crooksville).

1. If Academy wins Friday or beats Bexley, I think they finish ahead of Fort Frye.
2. If Oak Hill wins the next two, but loses to Ironton, them and FF will be very close in points.
3. If Monroe Central wins out, they will more than likely finish ahead of FF.
4. Ridgewood has to win this week (and I would consider this an upset) to be in contention.
5. Crooksville needs a win this week (would probably be an upset) but they could jump back up if they win out after a loss this week.

My gut says that Ridgewood and Crooksville fall out of contention this week. Ridgewood would be done and Crooksville would need to upset Sheridan to get back in. For arguments sake, we will say they are both out. Fredericktown could jump back in the conversation with upsets of North Union and Highland, but that looks doubtful.

So, that would leave 4 teams for 3 spots.

It looks like Monroe Central will win out, so they appear safe.

So, if Oak Hill wins the next two weeks and Adademy wins this week or week 10, I think FF could be on the outside looking in. The Cadets are big West Jeff, Bexley, Notre Dame, Symmes Valley, and Ironton fans.

[nutronron2012]

http://fantastic50.net/index.php?pr=Ohio

Region 21 Projections
1) Bishop Ready (Columbus) (9-1) 26.10
2) Valley (Lucasville) (9-1) 21.25
3) Newark Catholic (Newark) (8-2) 16.30
4) Centerburg (9-1) 16.00
5) Bellaire (6-4) 15.27
6) Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (7-3) 14.15
7) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (7-3) 13.75
8 ) Oak Hill (8-2) 13.40

[Crab's Brother]

http://fantastic50.net/index.php?pr=Ohio

Region 21 Projections
1) Bishop Ready (Columbus) (9-1) 26.10
2) Valley (Lucasville) (9-1) 21.25
3) Newark Catholic (Newark) (8-2) 16.30
4) Centerburg (9-1) 16.00
5) Bellaire (6-4) 15.27
6) Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (7-3) 14.15
7) Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (7-3) 13.75
8 ) Oak Hill (8-2) 13.40

Looks like Drew has Academy beating Bexley in week 10, Oak Hill only losing to Ironton, and MC winning out. This scenario would have FF on the outside looking in.

[Region 15]

If not to complicated figure in a Bellaire win over a St.C. or Ferry, with a 7-3 finish. Myself I see the 6-4.

[Crab's Brother]

If not to complicated figure in a Bellaire win over a St.C. or Ferry, with a 7-3 finish. Myself I see the 6-4.

Using Drew's numbers (I think he has Bellaire with 122 2nd level) Bellaire's average would look like this with a win over:

St. Clairsville: 19.81
Ferry: 19.61

Either of those wins would vault the Big Reds into a home game. They won't catch Valley or Ready unless both lose multiple games down the stretch.

[EasternDspy]

That's because Drew has Fort Frye losing to Caldwell.What happens if 2 schools tie? Fort Frye at 9 wins will be close 13.4 as well.

[Crab's Brother]

That's because Drew has Fort Frye losing to Caldwell.What happens if 2 schools tie? Fort Frye at 9 wins will be close 13.4 as well.

In a tie, they go to 3rd level points. I don't see it ending that way.

[nerkfan]

Newark Catholic playoff chances rest on this week. If they beat Johnstown, they're looking at a 3 or 4 seed. If they lose, they're looking at a 8,9 or 10 seed. I'm hoping NC will win but I believe Johnstown will win.

[Crab's Brother]

I am currently working on rounding up some game updates for this region. I know that Bellaire and Oak Hill are tomorrow. Will anyone have access to Ridgewood or Crooksville updates? If you do, pm me.

Thanks.

[Mr. Hoff]

Ready Won
Valley Won
Centerburg Won
Bellaire is tomorrow
Newark Catholic Won
Columbus Academy Lost
Ridgewood Won
Crooksville Lost
Fredericktown Lost

[Crab's Brother]

Ridgewood is the big winner tonight. They are definitely back in the talk now.

[Crab's Brother]

It looks like Fort Frye was also a big winner last night as they had several defeated opponents get wins.

As I said in the last post, Ridgewood got a huge win over Malvern. It looks like they may have a chance to win out, and if they do, there will probably be enough points to get them in.

Academy's hopes have taken a hit. They don't have many points coming with wins over the next two weeks and now it looks like a week 10 win over Bexley will only be over a 6 win team, as Bexley lost to 2-4 Madison Plains last night.

Crooksville may not have a chance even with an upset of Sheridan due to 0-7 Morgan on the slate next week.

The pressure now shifts to Oak Hill. The Oaks could be in some trouble if they lose tonight at Notre Dame. I haven't added it all up, but if Fort Frye and Monroe Central both win out, it looks like Ridgewood, Oak Hill, and Academy are playing for 1 spot and a probable first round matchup with Ready.

[Crab's Brother]

I went through and did a rough draft of the rest of the season. I tried to make educated guesses on some toss up games but you can never get them all. Here is what I have figured as rough estimates for Region 21:

Ready 29.75 (10-0)
25.10 (9-1 Loss to Hartley)

Valley 25.75 (10-0)
21.15 (9-1 Loss to Wheelersburg)

Centerburg 20.40 (10-0)
16.35 (9-1 Loss to Highland)

Newark Catholic 14.95 (8-2 Loss to Granville)
19.10 (9-1)

Bellaire 14.11 (6-4 Losses to St. Clairsville and Ferry)
18.45 (7-3 Loss to St. C)
22.99 (8-2)

Fort Frye 13.85 (9-1)
10.75 (8-2 Loss to Caldwell)

Monroe Central 14.5 (7-3)

Academy 14.05 (7-3)
10.80 (6-4 Loss to Bexley)

Oak Hill 15.0 (9-1)
13.15 (8-2 Loss to Ironton)
11.70 (8-2 Loss to Notre Dame)
9.85 (7-3 Losses to both ND and Ironton)

Ridgewood 13.45 (7-3)
11.20 (6-4 with a loss to Newcomberstown)

Crooksville 11.20 (6-4)
7.1 (5-5 loss to Sheridan)

To sum this all up:
Ready is probably going to be the #1 seed. If Valley runs the table and the OVC falls how I think it might, the Indians could catch the Knights if Ready loses to Hartley. As long as Valley beats Minford, the only way they are not at least the #2 is if Bellaire wins out and gets to 8-2. This is very possible, but we will know today as the Big Reds take on St. Clairsville. Centerburg looks to be in good shape for the 3 seed. That could change with a loss to Sparta Highland. Should Centerburg fall, Newark Catholic and Bellaire will have a chance to jump to #3 with wins over Granville and Martins Ferry, respectively. On down, Monroe Central looks like they are running the table. Where they end up seed wise will be dependent on the games I mentioned above (Granville-NC and Bellaire-Ferry). Fort Frye still doesn’t look to control their own destiny. They are in much better shape, but if Oak Hill wins out, they will pass Fort Frye. The same appears to be true for Columbus Academy, but those numbers will be real close. Ridgewood can also pass Fort Frye if they win out, but it depends on the rest of their league plays out as far as defeated opponents. Crooksville is hanging on by a thread and it will take a big upset. I think we are down to 10 teams. Here are my way too early predictions. As with any other projections, there is quite a bit of guess work, but if you have questions, just ask.

1. Ready
2. Valley
3. Centerburg
4. Newark Catholic
5. Monroe Central
6. Bellaire
7. Academy
8. Fort Frye
9. Ridgewood
10. Oak Hill

[EasternDspy]

What happens when Ridgewood loses to Sandy Valley.Also don't think Fort Frye can stop Caldwells run.