Region 21
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Re: Region 21
Bishop Ready is the real deal this year. They are as they claim with alot of weapons adding a few more as season progresses(transfers that had to sit out first 5 games).If Valley gets stopped Ready would be the team to do it. However I think Valley would give them a battle.
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Re: Region 21
Region 21 is getting a lot of respect when it comes to the projections for the state championship
Division 6 State Championship Probabilities
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 38.4%
Newark Catholic (Newark) 3.4%
Valley (Lucasville) 2.2%
Mechanicsburg 1.2%
Bellaire 0.4%
Tri-County North (Lewisburg) 0.3%
Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) 0.3%
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) 0.2%
Miami East (Casstown) 0.2%
Division 6 State Championship Probabilities
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 38.4%
Newark Catholic (Newark) 3.4%
Valley (Lucasville) 2.2%
Mechanicsburg 1.2%
Bellaire 0.4%
Tri-County North (Lewisburg) 0.3%
Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) 0.3%
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) 0.2%
Miami East (Casstown) 0.2%
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Re: Region 21
Not sure where you are getting those (assuming Drew) but by those numbers, it looks like there is a greater than 50% chance that no one wins the D6 state title.nutronron2012 wrote:Region 21 is getting a lot of respect when it comes to the projections for the state championship
Division 6 State Championship Probabilities
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 38.4%
Newark Catholic (Newark) 3.4%
Valley (Lucasville) 2.2%
Mechanicsburg 1.2%
Bellaire 0.4%
Tri-County North (Lewisburg) 0.3%
Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) 0.3%
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) 0.2%
Miami East (Casstown) 0.2%
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Re: Region 21
Seems odd to me too. Surprised not to see Kirtland for sure. This doesn't look complete. Here's the linkCrab's brother wrote:Not sure where you are getting those (assuming Drew) but by those numbers, it looks like there is a greater than 50% chance that no one wins the D6 state title.nutronron2012 wrote:Region 21 is getting a lot of respect when it comes to the projections for the state championship
Division 6 State Championship Probabilities
Bishop Ready (Columbus) 38.4%
Newark Catholic (Newark) 3.4%
Valley (Lucasville) 2.2%
Mechanicsburg 1.2%
Bellaire 0.4%
Tri-County North (Lewisburg) 0.3%
Summit Country Day (Cincinnati) 0.3%
West Liberty-Salem (West Liberty) 0.2%
Miami East (Casstown) 0.2%
http://www.fantastic50.net/Ohio_State_Odds.php
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Re: Region 21
They are at the mercy of Bexley. If Academy beats them in week 10, Academy is in. The good news for Fort Frye is that Bexley will have a lot to play for as they are still in the playoffs as of now. It looks like a win would get them in, so that game should be a pretty good one. Even with a loss, Academy may still finish ahead of Fort Frye. The Cadets also need to have Ridgewood lose again. 6-4 Ridgewood would probably pass an 8-2 Fort Frye.EasternDspy wrote:Is there anyway Fort Frye can get in at 8-2
To sum it up, Fort Frye lost control of their own destiny with the loss on Friday.
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Re: Region 21
Region 21
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (8-0, D6 R21) - Clinched home game, seed #2 or better
Valley (Lucasville) (8-0, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #6 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
Bellaire (5-2, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, controls own destiny for a home game
Centerburg (8-0, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, needs a little help for a home game
Newark Catholic (Newark) (7-1, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, needs a little help for a home game
Oak Hill (7-1, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, needs a miracle for a home game
Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (5-3, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (5-3, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
East Knox (Howard) (3-5, D6 R21) - Needs help for a playoff berth
Fort Frye (Beverly) (6-2, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Crooksville (4-4, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (4-4, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Fredericktown (4-4, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (3-5, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Federal Hocking (Stewart) (4-4, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Belpre (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
River (Hannibal) (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Grandview Heights (Columbus) (2-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Northmor (Galion) (2-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Barnesville (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Huntington (Chillicothe) (0-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (8-0, D6 R21) - Clinched home game, seed #2 or better
Valley (Lucasville) (8-0, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #6 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
Bellaire (5-2, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, controls own destiny for a home game
Centerburg (8-0, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, needs a little help for a home game
Newark Catholic (Newark) (7-1, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, needs a little help for a home game
Oak Hill (7-1, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, needs a miracle for a home game
Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (5-3, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (5-3, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
East Knox (Howard) (3-5, D6 R21) - Needs help for a playoff berth
Fort Frye (Beverly) (6-2, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Crooksville (4-4, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (4-4, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Fredericktown (4-4, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (3-5, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Federal Hocking (Stewart) (4-4, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Belpre (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
River (Hannibal) (3-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Grandview Heights (Columbus) (2-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Northmor (Galion) (2-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Barnesville (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (1-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Huntington (Chillicothe) (0-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Re: Region 21
My personal opinion, what you see now is what you are going to see in Week 11, minus Fort Frye & a swap between NC and Centerburg. I look for Bexley to beat Columbus Academy and Ridgewood to sneak in.
#1 Bishop Ready vs #8 Ridgewood
#2 Valley vs #7 Monroe Central
#3 Bellaire vs #6 Oak Hill
#4 Newark Catholic vs #5 Centerburg
#1 Bishop Ready vs #8 Ridgewood
#2 Valley vs #7 Monroe Central
#3 Bellaire vs #6 Oak Hill
#4 Newark Catholic vs #5 Centerburg
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Re: Region 21
Ridgewood still has a chance if they can win out and Academy loses.CN2 wrote:My personal opinion, what you see now is what you are going to see in Week 11, minus Fort Frye & a swap between NC and Centerburg. I look for Bexley to beat Columbus Academy and Ridgewood to sneak in.
#1 Bishop Ready vs #8 Ridgewood
#2 Valley vs #7 Monroe Central
#3 Bellaire vs #6 Oak Hill
#4 Newark Catholic vs #5 Centerburg
Ready is heading for #1. I don't see much need in adding their numbers up.
Valley's seed will probably be determined this week. A win and they are at worst the #2. If they lose, 8-2 Bellaire would pass them. Unless the Indians loses their last 2, they are not going to be lower than 3rd no matter what Newark Catholic does against Granville. 9-1 Valley will be ahead of 9-1 Newark Catholic.
If NC wins out and Bellaire loses to Ferry, NC would pass them and go to #3 (if Valley wins 9).
The only way NC finishes 4th is if they beat Granville and Centerburg loses to Highland. This is defiantly possible.
Oak Hill at 9-1 would be very close to catching an 8-2 NC. If that were to happen, Rock Hill winning last week would make the difference.
If Oak Hill loses to Ironton, MC will finish ahead of them.
So, the top 6 are in. If Monroe Central holds serve, they are in.
Academy controls their own destiny. If they lose to Bexley, I have the points looking like this for #8:
Ridgewood 11.15 (If they win out)
Fort Frye 10.83
Fredericktown 10.8
Academy 10.45
So, Fort Frye needs losses from Ridgewood and Academy. The fact that Conotton Valley only plays 9 games could potentially push FF in, if Ridgewood and Academy both lose.
Re: Region 21
not sure what you guys are looking for or trying to figure out Nutron copied and pasted who is in and who is out with his post above, pretty simple just look at it. Not trying to sound arrogant or like a smart mouth either just thought maybe u guys had missed his post is all.
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Re: Region 21
There is nothing in what nutron posted about what happens if Columbus Academy loses or anything about seeds.jagered wrote:not sure what you guys are looking for or trying to figure out Nutron copied and pasted who is in and who is out with his post above, pretty simple just look at it. Not trying to sound arrogant or like a smart mouth either just thought maybe u guys had missed his post is all.
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Re: Region 21
And, there's traditionally an 80-85% chance his predictions are right. However, I'm personally gonna side with Crab's Bro on this one and say Ft Frye fans need to be die-hard Bexley fans, and hoping for Ridgewood to fall again as well (actually not unlikely).EasternDspy wrote:Crab - Drew Pastuer has Ridgewood at 10.8 and Fort Frye 10.83 if they both win out.
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Re: Region 21
I have Ridgewood like this:EasternDspy wrote:Crab - Drew Pastuer has Ridgewood at 10.8 and Fort Frye 10.83 if they both win out.
Buckeye Trail: 12
River View: 8
Stras-Frnaklin: 11
Malvern: 31
East Canton: 7.5
Newcomerstown: 18.5
That gives me totals of 23.5 (1st Level) and 88 (2nd). That is a total final average of 11.15. I am not sure how he is getting his number. There are two coin toss games and Drew has them both as 1 point games. He has Sandy Valley over Malvern. I have it the other way. Ridgewood only beat Malvern so that game will be a big one for the Generals. Newcomerstown and TCC will also be big for Ridgewood as they lost to TCC.
Ridgewood's point total is the hardest to figure because their league has no real upsets. Teams are all about even.
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Re: Region 21
For Fort Frye's own good, pray to God that you finish a 9 seed. I feel bad for whichever team draws Bishop Ready out of the gate.EasternDspy wrote:Newcomerstown has a chance to beat Ridgewood.
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Re: Region 21
It's always better to make the playoffs then to not make it regardless. Plus Ready still has Hartley they might not even end up 1.