Region 21

[coop]

Valley makes a statement...beats D5 #1 Wheelersburg 10-7.

[CN2]

Impact wins and losses:

Ironton takes down Oak Hill.
Valley beats Wheelersburg.

I predict it finishes like so:

1.Bishop Ready
2.Valley
3.Newark Catholic
4.Bellaire
5.Centerburg
6.Monroe Central
7.Oak Hill
8,Ridgewood

[nutronron2012]

Joe eitel has been updated

[nutronron2012]

Glad to see Valley and Burg both a lock for a home game. Hopefully they play on different nights. They should.

Region 21
Bishop Ready (Columbus) (8-0, D6 R21) - Clinched homecontentiond #2 or better
Valley (Lucasville) (9-0, D6 R21) - Clinched home game, seed #3 or better
Bellaire (7-2, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #5 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
Centerburg (9-0, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #5 or better, needs a little help for a home game
Newark Catholic (Newark) (8-1, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #5 or better, needs help for a home game
Oak Hill (7-2, D6 R21) - Clinched playoff berth, no home game
Columbus Academy (Gahanna) (6-3, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Monroe Central (Woodsfield) (6-3, D6 R21) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Ridgewood (West Lafayette) (5-4, D6 R21) - Needs help for a playoff berth
Fort Frye (Beverly) (7-2, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Fredericktown (5-4, D6 R21) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Federal Hocking (Stewart) (5-4, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Belpre (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Dawson-Bryant (Coal Grove) (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Crooksville (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Buckeye Trail (Lore City) (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Nelsonville-York (Nelsonville) (4-5, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
East Knox (Howard) (3-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Grandview Heights (Columbus) (3-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Northmor (Galion) (3-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
River (Hannibal) (3-6, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Barnesville (2-7, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Shenandoah (Sarahsville) (1-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Cardington-Lincoln (Cardington) (1-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Berne Union (Sugar Grove) (1-8, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Huntington (Chillicothe) (0-9, D6 R21) - Eliminated from playoff contention

[Crab's Brother]

Well here we are....Week 10 is here and man has it gone fast.

Per Joe Eitel, there are 13 teams still in contention for the playoffs. 5 teams have clinched spots, so we have 8 teams for 3 spots. I just cannot see Nelsonville beating Athens or Fed Hock beating Trimble, so I am just looking at the other 11 teams.

At the top, the #1 seed is Ready's for the taking. However, if they lose to Hartley, Valley can still take the top spot with a win over Minford. It would be very, very close if Ready loses. A lot would depend on defeated opponents at that point.

The 3-5 seeds are going to be decided by the Centerburg-Highland game and the Bellaire-Martins Ferry game. Bellaire can finish anywhere from #2 to #5. If Valley were to get upset by Minford, Bellaire could jump to #2. If Bellaire beats Ferry, they will finish #3 (the race for #2 would be very close if Valley loses). If Centerburg beats Highland, they should finish ahead of Newark Catholic (barely). A home game is out of Newark Catholic's control. If Centerburg and Bellaire win, I don't think there are enough points for NC to host a game.

All of the current top 5 win finish within the top 5.

The #6 seed looks to belong to Monroe Central. With Oak Hill's loss last night, they don't appear to have the points to catch MC. It looks like an almost certainty that Oak Hill finishes as the #7. With a few changes in the defeated opponents projections, Academy could take the #7 but it would be close.

The final spot is there for Academy to take. They win and they are in. If they lose, Ridgewood would be the next team in a win. If they both lose, it appears Fort Frye would be next up. If all three lose, the points with a 6-4 Academy and a 6-4 Fredricktown would be very close.

Here are the scenarios: (In all these I am assuming NC, Monroe Central, and Oak Hill all win their games as large favorites)

Ready, Valley, Centerburg, Bellaire, Academy all win:

1. Ready
2. Valley
3. Bellaire
4. Centerburg
5. Newark Catholic
6. Monroe Central
7. Oak Hill
8. Academy

For simplicity sake, let's just say Valley doesn't jump Ready if Ready loses.

Changes:

If Bellaire loses: Drop them to #5 and bump Centerburg and NC up a spot.
If Centerburg loses: Drop them to #5 and bump NC to #4
If Bellaire and Centerburg both lose: NC to #3, Bellaire to #4, and Centerburg to #5

[Izladoom]

Kinda torn on how I want valley to play. We have not played oak hil in a long time but what I always like about the playoffs is facing teams that are from different parts of the state that you don't know much about. Guess it's ok either way didn't we play academy in the early 90's?

[jagered]

If Columbus Academy beats Bexley they will jump to 7 and Oak Hill will drop to 8, jmo.

[Crab's Brother]

If Columbus Academy beats Bexley they will jump to 7 and Oak Hill will drop to 8, jmo.

That is very possible. My calculations have Wellston beating Vinton County. That game will determine the 7-8 seed if Academy wins. If Wellston wins,that will be enough points to keep Oak Hill ahead of Academy.

[Jesco White]

Kinda torn on how I want valley to play. We have not played oak hil in a long time but what I always like about the playoffs is facing teams that are from different parts of the state that you don't know much about. Guess it's ok either way didn't we play academy in the early 90's?

No, we've never played Columbus Academy

[Crab's Brother]

Drew has updated his rankings and he now has Ready, Newark Catholic, and Valley #1,#2, and #4 in all of Division 6. Looks like he thinks this region is going to be a grind after Round 1.

Looking at his projections:

He has Ready losing and Valley winning. His final averages for those 2 are slightly different than mine and I am guessing it has to do with the point values for South Point and Muskegon Heights. I don't think we will know where the state put those until they release the official week 9 points tomorrow. Either way, if Hartley does beat Ready and Valley wins, the race for #1 will be very, very close. If Academy loses, and Ready loses 1 2nd level point, it may be the difference.

Drew has Bellaire winning but his final average is about a half point less than mine. I would bet this has to do with the points from John Marshall. This won't matter much if Bellaire wins. It would only come into play if they win and Valley loses. Bellaire could then jump Valley win an Indian loss.

He also has Centerburg winning and finishing at 20.5. It looks like he has Lucas beating Vermillion. I have it the other way and I have Centerburg at 20.0. This only matters because he has Newark Catholic at 20.0. He has NC with an additional 3.5 level 2 points that I can't find. It looks like the last home game could come down to a virtual tie, if Bellaire and Centerburg both win.

I can't find my notes on Oak Hill, but Drew has Wellston beating Vinton County. This will give Oak Hill enough points to keep them ahead of Academy for #7. If the top of the region holds, that would save the Oaks a trip to Columbus and send them to Lucasville to play Valley and would keep Academy in Columbus to play Ready.

[EasternDspy]

Fort Frye needs wins from Newcomerstown and Bexley to get in.

[lovethemtigers]

Well this region has plenty of score-watchers in week 10! Seems like much of this has been set since week 5, but now down to final spots.

After Valley's big win, I would never guess they would lose to Minford. Got to think Valley finishes 2nd, or 1st if Ready loses which could happen. Valley has some respect in the AP this week, as they should after Friday.

I expect Bellaire, if it plays well, will take care of Ferry and be the 3rd seed. I won't even pretend the 2 seed is viable now because Lucasville won't lose. If the Big Reds take care of business then Monroe Central is coming to Nelson Field (never met as Monroe, but Bellaire is 4-1 vs Woodsfield dating back to 1909, last met 1930).

I believe NC and Centerburg played in a regional playoff years ago. Things will look very interesting if Centerburg wins over Highland, and they could easily win that. Sparta might be overrated.

Seems like Oak Hill has a date to Ready or Lucasville.

I really think Academy could win. Bexley doesn't seem that strong. I also think Newcomerstown has a great chance. Friday at 10 will be stressful for Acad, Ridg, and FF. Have a feeling an upset on someone's schedule could make a difference. Someone is just going to miss it by a very slim margin.

Gotta wish good luck to OVAC team FF to make it again.

[coop]

My first round "guesses" LOL

#8 Col. Academy @ #1 Bishop Ready
#7 Oak Hill @ #2 Lucasville Valley
#6 Monroe Cent @ #3 Bellaire
#5 Centerburg @ #4 Newark Catholic

RD 2:

Lucasville Valley vs. Newark Catholic
Bishop Ready vs. Bellaire

[lovethemtigers]

Rd 2 would match up #1v8 winner will play 4 v 5 winner, and 2v7 winner will play 3v6 winner

So it could be a NC v Ready rematch in 2nd and Bellaire v Lucasville (first meet in 1996 playoff)

[fairland02]

Looking forward to a Bellaire-Lucasville Valley matchup in the 2nd round assuming Bellaire takes care of business Saturday. Any thoughts on where they would play the game?

[oldschoolcorner7]

That is looking WAY to far ahead!!! Valley has to do some business as well. Not only this week but in the first playoff game. There ALWAYS seems to be a few "upsets" in the playoffs every year. I believe Burg and Valley were "knocked off" by a number six seed last year.
I DO hope you are right but very cautious in my optimism.

[Region 15]

As a Bellaire Fan, I must say with all honesty, that Valley seems to be better then Bellaire. The win over Wheelersburg sealed that decision for me. Bellaire simply has played much to inconsistent all season, especially the past two weeks , not to mention very turnover prone. If Bellaire was to continue playing as they did at Indian Creek and St.Clairsville then my decision would be reversed.

[coop]

drchap;

I know what you mean...but with these teams LOCKED in to the playoffs, it's ok to discuss playoff football. It's not the players and coaches, they know what needs to be done.

[The Oaf]

Looking forward to a Bellaire-Lucasville Valley matchup in the 2nd round assuming Bellaire takes care of business Saturday. Any thoughts on where they would play the game?

Ohio University

[Jesco White]

Looking forward to a Bellaire-Lucasville Valley matchup in the 2nd round assuming Bellaire takes care of business Saturday. Any thoughts on where they would play the game?

Ohio University

Possibly Lancaster