Region 19:playoff scenario

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wobycat
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Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by wobycat »

Let’s assume that top 4 win out - is this a correct assumption. Anyone else want to take a stab?


1. Ridgewood
2. Prep
3. Ironton
4. Piketon

The only shake ups are if garaway wins or Portsmouth.

Portsmouth is more of the longer shot of the two but garaway is more of a possibility but the wood does have them home.


TigerBob
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by TigerBob »

I did the math in another thread. As did someone else, they had Ridgewood losing though

My order

Prep
Ironton
10-0 Ridgewood
Piketon
9-1 Ridgewood
Wheelersburg


Beergogglebluez
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Beergogglebluez »

I think prep, ridgewood, ironton and Piketon. Portsmouth 4 if they beat ironton. Piketon will skip down even winnings out, playing bad teams last 2 weeks. Portsmouth will stay top 8 this week beating south point and minford will lose to waverly. But if ironton beats Portsmouth next Friday I think it’s Portsmouth vs minford at minford week 11


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Crab's Brother »

Here is my math:

1. Prep 26.51
2. Ironton 26.11
3. Ridgewood 24.39 (10-0)
4. Piketon 23.93
5. Wheelersburg 19.93
6. Clearcreek 16.71
7. Academy 14.97
8. Minford 12.71
9. Portsmouth 12.12
10. Northwest 11.86 (Beats SV)
11. Zane Trace 11.40
12. West 10.76
13. Ready 10.26
14. Liberty Union 9.54
15. Wellston 7.77
16. W. Muskingum 7.65

17. Coshocton 6.82
18. Morgan 5.89
19. New Lex 4.37

If Garaway beats Ridgewood, I have them at 19.79 and the #5. That would put Wheelersburg in the double home game category.


spider2Ybanana
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by spider2Ybanana »

IMO I think Burg would rather stay 5 and play Piketon rather than Ridgewood in the second round if it came to it.


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by art_vandelay »

Crab's Brother wrote: Tue Oct 12, 2021 4:03 pm Here is my math:

1. Prep 26.51
2. Ironton 26.11
3. Ridgewood 24.39 (10-0)
4. Piketon 23.93
5. Wheelersburg 19.93
6. Clearcreek 16.71
7. Academy 14.97
8. Minford 12.71
9. Portsmouth 12.12
10. Northwest 11.86 (Beats SV)
11. Zane Trace 11.40
12. West 10.76
13. Ready 10.26
14. Liberty Union 9.54
15. Wellston 7.77
16. W. Muskingum 7.65

17. Coshocton 6.82
18. Morgan 5.89
19. New Lex 4.37

If Garaway beats Ridgewood, I have them at 19.79 and the #5. That would put Wheelersburg in the double home game category.
crab: if Northwest loses to Symmes Valley, do they still have a chance to sneak in? Hope they can make it with all the injuries they've been battling this year.

spider: agreed...if I'm Burg, I'd rather face Piketon on the road, as opposed to facing Ridgewood at home (assuming their QB is healthy).*


BuckeyeBlood
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by BuckeyeBlood »

What does this region shape up to be if Portsmouth would happen to upset Ironton week 10?


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Beergogglebluez »

If Portsmouth beats ironton I think they are top 5. Definitely top 8 and a home game. Some think Portsmouth will have a home game even if they lose to ironton. I am one who thinks they will not and I hope I’m wrong. I hope for a Trojan win week 10. And week 9


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wobycat
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by wobycat »

Crab's Brother wrote: Tue Oct 12, 2021 4:03 pm Here is my math:

1. Prep 26.51
2. Ironton 26.11
3. Ridgewood 24.39 (10-0)
4. Piketon 23.93
5. Wheelersburg 19.93
6. Clearcreek 16.71
7. Academy 14.97
8. Minford 12.71
9. Portsmouth 12.12
10. Northwest 11.86 (Beats SV)
11. Zane Trace 11.40
12. West 10.76
13. Ready 10.26
14. Liberty Union 9.54
15. Wellston 7.77
16. W. Muskingum 7.65

17. Coshocton 6.82
18. Morgan 5.89
19. New Lex 4.37

If Garaway beats Ridgewood, I have them at 19.79 and the #5. That would put Wheelersburg in the double home game category.
You may be right. I’m giving ridge wood slight advantage over garaway with it being home. And a big edge to ironton being at home as well


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Crab's Brother »

art_vandelay wrote: Tue Oct 12, 2021 4:30 pm
Crab's Brother wrote: Tue Oct 12, 2021 4:03 pm Here is my math:

1. Prep 26.51
2. Ironton 26.11
3. Ridgewood 24.39 (10-0)
4. Piketon 23.93
5. Wheelersburg 19.93
6. Clearcreek 16.71
7. Academy 14.97
8. Minford 12.71
9. Portsmouth 12.12
10. Northwest 11.86 (Beats SV)
11. Zane Trace 11.40
12. West 10.76
13. Ready 10.26
14. Liberty Union 9.54
15. Wellston 7.77
16. W. Muskingum 7.65

17. Coshocton 6.82
18. Morgan 5.89
19. New Lex 4.37

If Garaway beats Ridgewood, I have them at 19.79 and the #5. That would put Wheelersburg in the double home game category.
crab: if Northwest loses to Symmes Valley, do they still have a chance to sneak in? Hope they can make it with all the injuries they've been battling this year.

spider: agreed...if I'm Burg, I'd rather face Piketon on the road, as opposed to facing Ridgewood at home (assuming their QB is healthy).*
I have Northwest at 8.49 if they lose to Symmes Valley. So I think they are in. That would put them down around #14.


Crab's Brother
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Crab's Brother »

BuckeyeBlood wrote: Tue Oct 12, 2021 7:17 pm What does this region shape up to be if Portsmouth would happen to upset Ironton week 10?
A Portsmouth win would put them at about 16.48.

Ironton would drop to 22.37.

Portsmouth cannot catch the top 5 unless one were to be upset. They would be close with Clearcreek.


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by tnichols10 »

Crab's Brother wrote: Tue Oct 12, 2021 4:03 pm Here is my math:

1. Prep 26.51
2. Ironton 26.11
3. Ridgewood 24.39 (10-0)
4. Piketon 23.93
5. Wheelersburg 19.93
6. Clearcreek 16.71
7. Academy 14.97
8. Minford 12.71
9. Portsmouth 12.12
10. Northwest 11.86 (Beats SV)
11. Zane Trace 11.40
12. West 10.76
13. Ready 10.26
14. Liberty Union 9.54
15. Wellston 7.77
16. W. Muskingum 7.65

17. Coshocton 6.82
18. Morgan 5.89
19. New Lex 4.37

If Garaway beats Ridgewood, I have them at 19.79 and the #5. That would put Wheelersburg in the double home game category.
I'm assuming your math has ZT losing to PV, because if they win that would put them around 13.68 and 8 seed hosting Minford


Bozo
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Bozo »

Many teams would have to lose to get Zane Trace a home playoff game at 8-2. SVC has very little non-league points (7-19 NL record) except for Piketon and they lost to them. Madison Plains is getting them nothing either.


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Crab's Brother »

tnichols10 wrote: Wed Oct 13, 2021 8:29 am
Crab's Brother wrote: Tue Oct 12, 2021 4:03 pm Here is my math:

1. Prep 26.51
2. Ironton 26.11
3. Ridgewood 24.39 (10-0)
4. Piketon 23.93
5. Wheelersburg 19.93
6. Clearcreek 16.71
7. Academy 14.97
8. Minford 12.71
9. Portsmouth 12.12
10. Northwest 11.86 (Beats SV)
11. Zane Trace 11.40
12. West 10.76
13. Ready 10.26
14. Liberty Union 9.54
15. Wellston 7.77
16. W. Muskingum 7.65

17. Coshocton 6.82
18. Morgan 5.89
19. New Lex 4.37

If Garaway beats Ridgewood, I have them at 19.79 and the #5. That would put Wheelersburg in the double home game category.
I'm assuming your math has ZT losing to PV, because if they win that would put them around 13.68 and 8 seed hosting Minford
That is correct. I have PV winning that game.


tnichols10
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by tnichols10 »

Bozo wrote: Wed Oct 13, 2021 8:41 am Many teams would have to lose to get Zane Trace a home playoff game at 8-2. SVC has very little non-league points (7-19 NL record) except for Piketon and they lost to them. Madison Plains is getting them nothing either.
Ok maybe my math is wrong but this is what I calculated for ZT

Week 9
Level 1 = + 4 from PV,
Level 2 = + 26 (+22 from PV, +4 from Unioto)

Week 10
Level 1 = + 4 from Adena
Level 2 = +25.5 (+ 4.5 from VC, + 4.5 from Unioto, +4 from PV, + 12.5 from Adena)

Final Level 1 = 35/10= 3.5, Level 2 = 100.5/94*10 = 10.69 = 14.19


Bozo
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Bozo »

We will see. 8-)
Zane Trace only having 49 second level points through 8 weeks hurts them to get a home game.
6 wins: VC (5-2) They other 5 wins are (6-30).

There are going to be some really bad blowouts in the first and second rounds because the OHSAA put 16 teams in to make more money.


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by DaWoodSoldier »

Bozo wrote: Wed Oct 13, 2021 10:10 am We will see. 8-)
Zane Trace only having 49 second level points through 8 weeks hurts them to get a home game.
6 wins: VC (5-2) They other 5 wins are (6-30).

There are going to be some really bad blowouts in the first and second rounds because the OHSAA put 16 teams in to make more money.
1st round I agree, not many compeitive games. But the 2nd round(old 1st rd) should have some quality games. I could see Ironton or Prep possibly beating one of top 8 handidly but that happens when you have elite teams. A possible Wood/Burg 2nd round game is a tough (old 1st round) game.


Beergogglebluez
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Beergogglebluez »

9-16 are bonus teams. They wouldn’t make it with a regular normal season. Which stinks because Portsmouth might end up in those bonus teams. Still hoping for a week 10 upset. Going to be some amazing upsets somewhere and going to be some complete blowouts with 1 playing 16, 2 and 15 so on.


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packers80
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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by packers80 »

Too many teams. #ohsaa$$


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Re: Region 19:playoff scenario

Post by Beergogglebluez »

packers80 wrote: Wed Oct 13, 2021 3:15 pm Too many teams. #ohsaa$$
They are making up for covid losses. They should of let everyone in and made a few dollars more. It’s too many teams.


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