1. If Hartley and Burg split the last two weeks, their avg will be between 22.2214-25.2622 (Hartley) and 22.1000-23.600 (Burg) -- St.C, Ferry, AND LU would all have to win out to hop over them. I don't see Ferry or LU winning out. Liberty plays Circleville this weekend and Ferry has Bellaire in Week 10. Thus I see both teams coming away with a split 1-1 of the last two weeks.Crab's brother wrote:
1. Hartley could possibly lose their last two and Wheelersburg could lose this week. If Ferry and/or LU win out and Hartley and Burg do lose, that first statement is no where near accurate. That statement won't be decided until this weekend.
2. I haven't added it up, but if Ferry and Liberty Union both win out, I am fairly confident that both could pass St. Clairsville. Their lead is less than one point on both and each have huge point games coming up over the next two weeks.
3. I have no idea what you are adding up, but if Liberty Union and/or Ferry win at least one more game game, their is no way Fairland catches them. 7-3 Fairland finishes with about a 16.15 average. If Ferry loses to Bellaire they will get to 18.69. That is with no help at all from their defeated out of state opponents. Even if Ferry loses twice and gets no defeated opponents wins, I believe West would have to upset Wheelersburg or Meigs would have to knock off Athens for Fairland to pass MF. Even if Liberty Union loses out, they will still finish ahead of Fairland. There is no way Fairland gets higher than the 6 seed. They have no chance at a home game.
4. There is a lot wrong with this statement. First, West would control their own destiny. If they beat Wheelersburg, they will jump all the way to #7. If Ironton wins 2 they will also pass South Point and probably Westfall. Neither Westfall or South Point winning out will "ensure playoff berths". Neither schools controls their own destiny. If Ironton wins out, they are in. If West finds a way to upset the Burg, they are in.
I am not trying to be an booty, but for the most part, everything you wrote is false.
2. 3-5 spots are a toss up. I don't really see anyone on St. C's schedule that could prevent them from winning out (Buckeye Local and Union Local) but stranger things have happened.
3. Fairland could potentially finish as high as 17.500. If Ferry and LU both lose out (which as I said, I foresee them splitting their last two games) both would finish around 15.0500-20.3908 which the lower end would be enough for Fairland to slip into the 5 or 4 spot.
4. That was all hypothetical situations based on numbers from JoeEitel.com
So yes, in essence, you are being a rooster since I in fact did check the numbers.