DIII R11

[muskiefan11]

Post-Week 7 Fantastic 50 Playoff Predictions

In-14
Bishop Watterson (7-0), London (7-0), Bloom-Carroll (6-1), Jackson (6-1), Granville (7-0), Hamilton Twp (7-0), Bellefontaine (5-2), Tri-Valley (5-2), Miami Trace (4-3), John Glenn (6-1), Buckeye Valley (4-3), Beechcroft (4-3), Marietta (3-4), Athens (3-4)

4 Contenders for 2 Spots
Columbus South 94% (4-3) need 4-6
Bexley 77% (2-5) bubble if 2-8
Chillicothe 24% (1-6) need 3-7
Centennial 3% (1-6) bubble if 3-7

Seeding with remaining game predictions
1. Bishop Watterson 10-0 Wins over St Charles, Harrison, DeSales
2. London 10-0 Wins over Tecumseh, Kenton Ridge, Urbana
3. Bloom-Caroll 9-1 Wins over Teays Valley, Hamilton Twp, Circleville
4. Jackson 9-1 Wins over Hillsboro, McClain, Chillicothe
5. Granville 9-1 Wins over Zanesville, Licking Valley Loss to Watkins Memorial
6. Hamilton Twp 9-1 Wins over Liberty Union, Logan Elm Loss to Bloom-Carroll
7. Bellefontaine 7-3 Wins over Urbana, Jonathan Alder, Kenton Ridge
8. Tri-Valley 7-3 Wins over Philo, John Glenn Loss to Sheridan
9. Miami Trace 6-4 Wins over Chillicothe, Hillsboro, Washington
10. John Glenn 8-2 Wins over River View, Philo Loss to Tri-Valley
11. Beechcroft 6-4 Wins over Columbus East, Whitehall Loss to Northland
12. Buckeye Valley 5-5 Win over Whitehall Losses to Bishop Ready, Columbus Academy
13. Marietta 5-5 Wins over Meigs, Warren Loss to Point Pleasant WV
14. Columbus South 5-5 Losses to Briggs, Africentric, Marion-Franklin
15. Athens 5-5 Wins over Wellston, River Valley Loss to Nelsonville-York
16. Bexley 3-7 Win over Whitehall, Losses to Bishop Ready, Worthington Christian
Out
Chillicothe 2-8 Losses to Miami Trace, Washington, Jackson
Centennial 1-9 Losses to KIPP, Columbus East, Whetstone

[a-trainsalomone]

Columbus South beats Briggs, Africentric, and Marion Franklin. John Glenn and Sheridan both beat Tri-Valley.

[muskiefan11]

Columbus South beats Briggs, Africentric, and Marion Franklin. John Glenn and Sheridan both beat Tri-Valley.

I think Sheridan will beat TV but I would be absolutely shocked if JG beats them. JG’s defense is good enough to keep them in games with anyone but the lack of a passing game is really killing their offense.

[Bluroon]

There are a ton of variables that come into play with TV and Sheridan which should make it a great game. As for JG, you can't be RPO without the "P" so it could be rough sailing for them wk 9-11. JG vs Philo is always a slobber knocker so it could be a toss up. Possibly a JG/TV matchup two weeks in a row.

[teach1coach2]

Sheridan and John Glenn have not played teams as good as Clinton Massie and DeSales (the 2 losses for Tri-Valley). And Tri-Valley beat DeSales everywhere but on the scoreboard.

John Glenn most likely loses to Tri-Valley by 2 or 3 TDs and finishes 8-2.

Tri-Valley and Sheridan is a toss up. Could really go either way. Sheridan has not beat Tri-Valley at Sheridan since 2005. This is their best chance to break that streak.

[Jokerswild]

Not the best Sheridan team we’ve seen lately but are solid for sure. I look for tri valley to win in Thornville again.

[muskiefan11]

Post-Week 8 Fantastic 50 Playoff Predictions

In-15
Bishop Watterson (8-0), London (8-0), Bloom-Carroll (7-1), Jackson (7-1), Granville (8-0), Hamilton Twp (8-0), Bellefontaine (6-2), Tri-Valley (6-2), Miami Trace (5-3), John Glenn (7-1), Buckeye Valley (4-4), Beechcroft (4-4), Marietta (4-4), Athens (4-4), Columbus South (4-4)

2 Contenders for 1 Spot
Bexley 96% (3-5) need 3-7
Centennial 2% (1-7) need 3-7

Longshots
Chillicothe, Zanesville, Circleville, Linden McKinley, Whitehall

Seeding with remaining game predictions
1. Bishop Watterson 10-0 Wins over Harrison, DeSales
2. London 10-0 Wins over Kenton Ridge, Urbana
3. Bloom-Caroll 9-1 Wins over Hamilton Twp, Circleville
4. Jackson 9-1 Wins over McClain, Chillicothe
5. Bellefontaine 8-2 Wins over Jonathan Alder, Kenton Ridge
6. Granville 9-1 Wins over Licking Valley, Watkins Memorial
7. Hamilton Twp 9-1 Win over Logan Elm Loss to Bloom-Carroll
8. Miami Trace 7-3 Wins over Hillsboro, Washington
9. Tri-Valley 7-3 Win over John Glenn Loss to Sheridan
10. John Glenn 8-2 Win over Philo Loss to Tri-Valley
11. Buckeye Valley 5-5 Win over Whitehall Loss to Columbus Academy
12. Marietta 5-5 Win over Warren Loss to Point Pleasant WV
13. Athens 5-5 Win over River Valley Loss to Nelsonville-York
14. Beechcroft 5-5 Win over Whitehall Loss to Northland
15. Columbus South 4-6 Losses to Africentric, Marion-Franklin
16. Bexley 3-7 Losses to Bishop Ready, Worthington Christian

Out
Chillicothe 1-9 Losses to Washington, Jackson
Zanesville 1-9 Losses to Watkins Memorial, Logan
Circleville 1-9 Losses to Liberty Union, Bloom-Carroll
Centennial 1-9 Losses to Columbus East, Whetstone
Linden McKinley 1-9 Win over Mifflin, Loss to Columbus East
Whitehall 0-10 Losses to Beechcroft, Buckeye Valley

[muskiefan11]

Changes from Week 7:

Clinched Playoffs-Columbus South

Bellefontaine, Athens +2 Seeds
Miami Trace, Buckeye Valley, Marietta +1 Seed
Granville, Hamilton Twp, Tri-Valley, Columbus South -1 Seed
Beechcroft -3 Seeds

[VetteMan]

Changes from Week 7:

Clinched Playoffs-Columbus South

Bellefontaine, Athens +2 Seeds
Miami Trace, Buckeye Valley, Marietta +1 Seed
Granville, Hamilton Twp, Tri-Valley, Columbus South -1 Seed
Beechcroft -3 Seeds

Thanks for taking the time to do these predictions.

[muskiefan11]

According to Fantastic 50 Twitter, based on projected playoff points cutoffs, this region is the 5th toughest to earn a home playoff game (17.90) and two home playoff games (25.00) in the state.

[muskiefan11]

Post Week 9 Playoff Outlook

In-15
Bishop Watterson (Home x2), London (Home, Likely x2), Hamilton Twp (Home, 70% x2), Granville (Home, 55% x2), Jackson (Home, 62% x2), Bloom-Carroll (Home, 12% x2), Tri-Valley (98% Home), Bellefontaine (Home), Miami Trace, John Glenn (2% Home), Buckeye Valley, Marietta, Athens, Bexley, Beechcroft

3 Contenders for 1 Spot
4-5 Columbus South 95% need 4-6
1-8 Whitehall 5% bubble if 2-8
1-8 Chillicothe <2% need 2-8

Eliminated
Zanesville, Circleville, Centennial, Linden McKinley

Seeding based on Projected Points
1.
33.75 Bishop Watterson 10-0 Win over DeSales (91%)
2.
29.35 London 10-0 Win over Urbana (92%)
3.
25.10 Hamilton Twp 10-0 Win over Logan Elm (72%)
4.
24.60 Granville 10-0 Win over Watkins Memorial (66%)
5.
24.45 Jackson 9-1 Win over Chillicothe (99%)
6.
23.39 Bloom-Carroll 8-2 Win over Circleville (99%)
7.
23.10 Tri-Valley 8-2 Win over John Glenn (88%)
8.
22.05 Bellefontaine 8-2 Win over Kenton Ridge (99%)
20.60 Hamilton Twp 9-1 Loss to Logan Elm (28%)
20.20 Granville 9-1 Loss to Watkins Memorial (34%)
18.65 Tri-Valley 7-3 Loss to John Glenn (12%)
18.30 John Glenn 9-1 Win over Tri-Valley (12%)
9.
15.40 Miami Trace 6-4 Win over Washington (69%)
10.
14.20 John Glenn 8-2 Loss to Tri-Valley (88%)
12.80 Miami Trace 5-5 Loss to Washington (31%)
11.
11.45 Buckeye Valley 5-5 Win over Whitehall (88%)
11.15 Beechcroft 5-5 Win over Northland (24%)
11.10 Athens 6-4 Win over Nelsonville-York (22%)
10.35 Buckeye Valley 4-6 Loss to Whitehall (12%)
12.
10.10 Marietta 5-5 Win over Warren (57%)
9.37 Columbus South 5-5 Win over Marion-Franklin (13%)
13.
8.75 Bexley 4-6 Win over Worthington Christian (55%)
7.64 Marietta 4-6 Loss to Warren (43%)
14.
7.50 Athens 5-5 Loss to Nelsonville-York (78%)
6.65 Bexley 3-7 Loss to Worthington Christian (45%)
15.
6.15 Beechcroft 4-6 Loss to Northland (76%)
16.
6.09 Columbus South 4-6 Loss to Marion-Franklin (87%)
5.59 Whitehall 2-8 Win over Buckeye Valley (12%)
2.87 Whitehall 1-9 Loss to Buckeye Valley (88%)

[muskiefan11]

Post Week 9 Playoff Outlook

In-15
Bishop Watterson (Home x2), London (Home, Likely x2), Hamilton Twp (Home, 70% x2), Granville (Home, 55% x2), Jackson (Home, 62% x2), Bloom-Carroll (Home, 12% x2), Tri-Valley (98% Home), Bellefontaine (Home), Miami Trace, John Glenn (2% Home), Buckeye Valley, Marietta, Athens, Bexley, Beechcroft

3 Contenders for 1 Spot
4-5 Columbus South 95% need 4-6
1-8 Whitehall 5% bubble if 2-8
1-8 Chillicothe <2% need 2-8

Eliminated
Zanesville, Circleville, Centennial, Linden McKinley

Seeding based on Projected Points
1.
33.75 Bishop Watterson 10-0 Win over DeSales (91%)
2.
29.35 London 10-0 Win over Urbana (92%)
3.
25.10 Hamilton Twp 10-0 Win over Logan Elm (72%)
4.
24.60 Granville 10-0 Win over Watkins Memorial (66%)
5.
24.45 Jackson 9-1 Win over Chillicothe (99%)
6.
23.39 Bloom-Carroll 8-2 Win over Circleville (99%)
7.
23.10 Tri-Valley 8-2 Win over John Glenn (88%)
8.
22.05 Bellefontaine 8-2 Win over Kenton Ridge (99%)
20.60 Hamilton Twp 9-1 Loss to Logan Elm (28%)
20.20 Granville 9-1 Loss to Watkins Memorial (34%)
18.65 Tri-Valley 7-3 Loss to John Glenn (12%)
18.30 John Glenn 9-1 Win over Tri-Valley (12%)
9.
15.40 Miami Trace 6-4 Win over Washington (69%)
10.
14.20 John Glenn 8-2 Loss to Tri-Valley (88%)
12.80 Miami Trace 5-5 Loss to Washington (31%)
11.
11.45 Buckeye Valley 5-5 Win over Whitehall (88%)
11.15 Beechcroft 5-5 Win over Northland (24%)
11.10 Athens 6-4 Win over Nelsonville-York (22%)
10.35 Buckeye Valley 4-6 Loss to Whitehall (12%)
12.
10.10 Marietta 5-5 Win over Warren (57%)
9.37 Columbus South 5-5 Win over Marion-Franklin (13%)
13.
8.75 Bexley 4-6 Win over Worthington Christian (55%)
7.64 Marietta 4-6 Loss to Warren (43%)
14.
7.50 Athens 5-5 Loss to Nelsonville-York (78%)
6.65 Bexley 3-7 Loss to Worthington Christian (45%)
15.
6.15 Beechcroft 4-6 Loss to Northland (76%)
16.
6.09 Columbus South 4-6 Loss to Marion-Franklin (87%)
5.59 Whitehall 2-8 Win over Buckeye Valley (12%)
2.87 Whitehall 1-9 Loss to Buckeye Valley (88%)

Updated to include projected seeding based on most likely outcomes.

[teach1coach2]

1. Watterson
2. London
3. Granville
4. Jackson
5. Bloom Carroll
6. Tri-Valley
7. Bellefontaine
8. Hamilton Township
9. Miami Trace
10. John Glenn
11. Buckeye Valley
12. Athens
13. Marietta
14. Bexley
15-16 Beechcroft and South

[teach1coach2]

see above

[muskiefan11]

1. Watterson
2. London
3. Granville
4. Jackson
5. Bloom Carroll
6. Tri-Valley
7. Bellefontaine
8. Hamilton Township
9. Miami Trace
10. John Glenn
11. Buckeye Valley
12. Athens
13. Marietta
14. Bexley
15-16 Beechcroft and South

Beechcroft earns the 15-seed with a Briggs win over Cols. West. South earns the 15-seed with a Cols. West win over Briggs.

[muskiefan11]

Unofficial Matchups according to Joe Eitel:

16 South or Beechcroft @ Bishop Watterson
9 Miami Trace @ 8 Hamilton Twp
13 Marietta @ 4 Jackson
12 Athens @ 5 Bloom-Carroll
15 South or Beechcroft @ 2 London
10 John Glenn @ 7 Bellefontaine
14 Bexley @ 3 Granville
11 Buckeye Valley @ 6 Tri-Valley

[coachK]

Post-Week 7 Fantastic 50 Playoff Predictions

In-14
Bishop Watterson (7-0), London (7-0), Bloom-Carroll (6-1), Jackson (6-1), Granville (7-0), Hamilton Twp (7-0), Bellefontaine (5-2), Tri-Valley (5-2), Miami Trace (4-3), John Glenn (6-1), Buckeye Valley (4-3), Beechcroft (4-3), Marietta (3-4), Athens (3-4)

4 Contenders for 2 Spots
Columbus South 94% (4-3) need 4-6
Bexley 77% (2-5) bubble if 2-8
Chillicothe 24% (1-6) need 3-7
Centennial 3% (1-6) bubble if 3-7

Seeding with remaining game predictions
1. Bishop Watterson 10-0 Wins over St Charles, Harrison, DeSales
2. London 10-0 Wins over Tecumseh, Kenton Ridge, Urbana
3. Bloom-Caroll 9-1 Wins over Teays Valley, Hamilton Twp, Circleville
4. Jackson 9-1 Wins over Hillsboro, McClain, Chillicothe
5. Granville 9-1 Wins over Zanesville, Licking Valley Loss to Watkins Memorial
6. Hamilton Twp 9-1 Wins over Liberty Union, Logan Elm Loss to Bloom-Carroll
7. Bellefontaine 7-3 Wins over Urbana, Jonathan Alder, Kenton Ridge
8. Tri-Valley 7-3 Wins over Philo, John Glenn Loss to Sheridan
9. Miami Trace 6-4 Wins over Chillicothe, Hillsboro, Washington
10. John Glenn 8-2 Wins over River View, Philo Loss to Tri-Valley
11. Beechcroft 6-4 Wins over Columbus East, Whitehall Loss to Northland
12. Buckeye Valley 5-5 Win over Whitehall Losses to Bishop Ready, Columbus Academy
13. Marietta 5-5 Wins over Meigs, Warren Loss to Point Pleasant WV
14. Columbus South 5-5 Losses to Briggs, Africentric, Marion-Franklin
15. Athens 5-5 Wins over Wellston, River Valley Loss to Nelsonville-York
16. Bexley 3-7 Win over Whitehall, Losses to Bishop Ready, Worthington Christian
Out
Chillicothe 2-8 Losses to Miami Trace, Washington, Jackson
Centennial 1-9 Losses to KIPP, Columbus East, Whetstone

4 teams 5-5 and one 3 win team. Another example of why ohsaa needs to go back to 8 teams.

[muskiefan11]

Not sure we see any 1st round upsets in this region. There’s going to be some real good Week 12 games tho.

[teach1coach2]

Not sure we see any 1st round upsets in this region. There’s going to be some real good Week 12 games tho.

You are likely correct. But John Glenn probably has the best chance of an upset with a really good defense. Just need to score some points.

[Ironmen56]

I could see Miami trace pull a upset with a win tonight and I think it's going to be tri valley vs. Jackson in the regional finals that's my predictions